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LFP Batteries

FOX RIVER RESOURCES

Electric Vehicles and Battery Storage Create New Demands for Phosphoric Acid

With the recent development of the Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP) battery for both the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, the PPA market is expected to expand rapidly to meet this new demand.

Canada currently has no active phosphate mines or processing facilities for PPA production critical for LFP batteries for electric vehicles and battery storage. LFP is a crucial technology for a low carbon economy. Since 2020, Canada has attracted more than $46 billion in investments across the electric vehicle (EV) supply chain and up to $52.5 billion of corresponding support from federal and provincial governments.

LFP batteries are one of the battery technologies favored by many mainstream EV manufacturers including Tesla and BYD. The International Energy Agency states the market share for LFP batteries rose to 40% of EV sales and 80% of new battery storage in 2023. Demand for LFP batteries is on the rise as automakers look for ways to further reduce the cost of EVs. Hyundai, Honda, and VW are all expected to begin using LFP batteries in some models. The automotive sector currently represents about 5% of PPA demand, but that number is expected to jump to 24% by 2030. This emerging demand will need to be satisfied by new supplies of phosphoric acid and PPA.

Furthermore, next-generation LFP and lithium manganese iron phosphate (LMFP) cathode chemistries are more energy dense, lower cost, and safer. Demand for these chemistries is expected to increase going forward.

PPA Supply Challenges

Globally, greater than 2MMt P2O5 of PPA is needed to meet projected LFP cathode active material (CAM) demand by 2040. This new demand for phosphate adds pressure to a market already challenged to meet phosphate fertilizer demand.

Global Capacity, Production and Operating Rate - PPAGlobal PPA/TPA Current Supply Potential - Demand

Securing raw material supply to meet increased demand for batteries will continue to be a trend in coming years, with attention from automakers now turning to the phosphoric acid supply chain to produce the CAM.

As with some other battery raw materials, China has a dominant position in refining phosphate rock into PPA. The country had two-thirds of the global capacity in 2022. In January 2025, China announced it would consider restricting exports of key technologies used to produce the CAM used in LFP batteries.

To ensure the continued adoption of LFP batteries for EVs and battery storage and the transition to a low carbon economy securing sources of PPA supply outside of China is becoming a pressing necessity for North America.

Industry News
  • China proposes export ban on battery cathode and lithium processing technology
    January 2, 2025
  • Volkswagen buys 9.9% of Patriot Battery Metals for $48 million
    December 18, 2024
  • Canada Growth Fund Announces First Transaction in the Critical Minerals Sector
    December 17, 2024
  • Market Inside and Beyond: The Future of the Fertilizers that Feed Our World
    December 10, 2024

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